Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
