Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 0 | 24 |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 18 | -2 | 24 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 9 | 30 |
3 | CF Montreal | 17 | 5 | 29 |
4 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | CF Montreal |
53.21% ( 0.06) | 23.52% ( 0.21) | 23.27% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 54.62% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% ( -1.17) | 46.11% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% ( -1.12) | 68.41% ( 1.12) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( -0.41) | 17.28% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.39% ( -0.72) | 47.61% ( 0.72) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.03% ( -0.88) | 33.97% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% ( -0.96) | 70.65% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.21% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
9 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
9 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 29 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |