Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
41.77% | 25.09% | 33.14% |
Both teams to score 56.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% | 46.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% | 68.91% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% | 22.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% | 55.72% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% | 26.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% | 62.3% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 42 |
3 | CF MontrealMontreal | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 40 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 32 |
7 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Orlando City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 30 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 29 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 |
13 | Toronto | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 26 |
14 | DC United | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |