Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
48.84% | 23.32% | 27.84% |
Both teams to score 59.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% | 41.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% | 63.57% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% | 17.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% | 47.23% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% | 27.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% | 63.29% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-1 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 30 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 29 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 29 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 25 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 25 |
7 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 21 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Toronto | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
14 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 30 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 29 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 29 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 25 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 25 |
7 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 23 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 21 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Toronto | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
14 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |