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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
48.94% | 25.37% | 25.69% |
Both teams to score 51.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.35% | 51.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.57% | 73.43% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% | 21.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% | 53.95% |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% | 34.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% | 71.63% |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 1% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Stevenage | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 66 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 63 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 50 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
14 | Walsall | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 45 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 45 |
16 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 42 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 40 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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