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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
45.07% | 27.77% | 27.15% |
Both teams to score 45.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% | 59.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% | 79.96% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% | 26.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% | 61.56% |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.98% | 38.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.21% | 74.79% |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.98% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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