Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
