The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Wigan Athletic 3-1 Crewe Alexandra
Wigan appear to be the far stronger of the two sides, and, with more confidence given the contrasting form, we see them recording a relatively routine home win on Tuesday. Artell's side have found it tough to keep things tight at the back recently, and the hosts have the tools to exploit a struggling back line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 66.78% | 20.3% | 12.92% |
| Both teams to score 45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
