Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
