Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
