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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
46.24% | 24.08% | 29.68% |
Both teams to score 58.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% | 43.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% | 65.93% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% | 19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% | 50.55% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% | 27.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% | 63.2% |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
> League One Full Table |