Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
