Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.