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Watford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo
Watford
1 - 3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
The Match
Match Report
The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.
Team News
The hosts are set to make a host of changes.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
40.06%26.56%33.39%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.93%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.96%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.05%
    Stoke City 33.39%
    Draw 26.56%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Stoke City
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal35256483394481
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341811561293265
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3419694941863
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331671063451855
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham35146155049148
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham35107183850-1237
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3589183465-3133
17Everton35711173253-2132
18Leicester CityLeicester3586214964-1530
19Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
20Southampton3566233164-3324

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