Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
