Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ayacucho and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayacucho win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayacucho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
