Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Sport Boys and Ayacucho.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Boys win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Boys would win this match.
