Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
