Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Deportes Tolima win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.