Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.