Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.
