Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.