Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Hebei China Fortune win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.