Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.