Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.