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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Birmingham City |
37.15% | 27.47% | 35.39% |
Both teams to score 49.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.77% | 56.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.73% | 77.28% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.91% | 65.09% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% | 30.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.59% | 66.41% |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.14% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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