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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bristol City |
59.33% | 21.74% | 18.93% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.23% | 43.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.62% | 14.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.72% | 42.28% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% | 36.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% | 73.69% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 6.43% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 3.12% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.33% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.29% 1-2 @ 5.12% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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