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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
37.71% | 26.21% | 36.09% |
Both teams to score 53.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.93% | 51.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% | 72.93% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% | 26.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% | 27.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% | 62.75% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 47 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 23 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 39 |
4 | Watford | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 35 |
6 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 34 |
8 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Millwall | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 32 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
11 | Reading | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 32 |
12 | Sunderland | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 31 |
13 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
16 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 29 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
18 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 27 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
21 | Hull City | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 26 |
22 | Blackpool | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 24 |
23 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 24 |
24 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 19 |
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