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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
30.72% | 28.69% | 40.59% |
Both teams to score 44.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.6% | 61.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.71% | 81.29% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% | 36.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% | 72.93% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% | 29.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% | 65.71% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 13.03% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 61 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 49 |
5 | Sunderland | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 48 |
6 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
7 | Millwall | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 45 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 42 |
12 | Hull City | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
13 | Reading | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 40 |
15 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 39 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 39 |
18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 38 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 34 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 32 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 29 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 28 |
24 | Blackpool | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
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