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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
38.15% ( -1.69) | 23.95% ( 0.14) | 37.9% ( 1.55) |
Both teams to score 61.66% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.38% ( -0.59) | 40.62% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37% ( -0.61) | 63% ( 0.61) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% ( -1.07) | 21.41% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.59% ( -1.67) | 54.41% ( 1.67) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% ( 0.52) | 21.53% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( 0.8) | 54.6% ( -0.79) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 60 |
3 | Stuttgart | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 56 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 50 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 32 | 28 | 49 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 40 |
7 | Augsburg | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 33 |
9 | Freiburg | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 30 |
11 | Heidenheim | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 28 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 25 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 25 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 19 |
17 | FC Koln | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 18 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 13 |
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