Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.