Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
Gambia
2 - 3
Cameroon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Gambia
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cameroon | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Gambia | 2 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Gambia 0-1 Cameroon
Gambia are going to put up a fight, but Cameroon's superior quality could be the difference. The Indomitable Lions have struggled to create high-quality chances in this tournament but they should have too much for the Scorpions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Cameroon |
20.06% ( 0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.09) | 53.09% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
