Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
