Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
