Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
