Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
52.17% ( 0.44) | 24.91% ( 0.21) | 22.93% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( -1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( -1.43) | 52.14% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( -1.25) | 73.86% ( 1.24) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( -0.38) | 19.97% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% ( -0.62) | 52.14% ( 0.61) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( -1.4) | 37.63% ( 1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.59% ( -1.4) | 74.41% ( 1.39) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 61 |
3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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