Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Manchester United |
31.48% ( -0.41) | 23.36% ( -0.35) | 45.16% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 62.21% ( 1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.77% ( 1.5) | 39.23% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.44% ( 1.56) | 61.56% ( -1.55) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( 0.48) | 24.38% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( 0.67) | 58.79% ( -0.67) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.27% ( 0.91) | 17.73% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.6% ( 1.55) | 48.4% ( -1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.48% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.88% Total : 45.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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