Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
