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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
25.57% | 24.94% | 49.49% |
Both teams to score 52.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% | 50.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% | 71.99% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% | 34.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.2% | 70.8% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% | 20.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% | 52.55% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.57% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
12 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 19 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
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