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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
18.62% | 18.58% | 62.81% |
Both teams to score 65.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% | 29.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% | 64.25% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% | 30.71% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.87% 1-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 2.04% 2-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 4% Total : 18.62% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 2.57% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-4 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 2.83% 1-5 @ 2.17% 0-5 @ 1.73% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 39 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 37 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 37 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
6 | Freiburg | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 24 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
11 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 11 |
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