Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
