Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
