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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
27.63% ( -0) | 28.35% ( -0.01) | 44.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.74% ( 0.01) | 81.26% ( -0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( 0.01) | 38.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( 0) | 75.32% ( -0) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.01) | 27.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( 0.02) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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