Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
34.88% | 24.63% | 40.48% |
Both teams to score 58.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% | 44.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% | 66.54% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% | 24.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% | 21.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% | 55.04% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 34 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 21 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Macarthur | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 19 |
10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 14 |
> Full Version |