Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.