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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
64.43% ( 0.03) | 21.35% ( -0.01) | 14.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( 0.02) | 50.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( 0.02) | 72.25% ( -0.02) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.2% ( -0) | 46.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.66% ( -0) | 82.34% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 64.42% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 80 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Barnsley | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 64 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 64 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 61 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 42 |
19 | MK Dons | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 40 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 40 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 68 | -31 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 26 |
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