Zambia 4-2 Congo - World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage - Football

Zambia will be licking their lips as they go up against a Congo side who have managed just one win in six since the turn of the year. The Chipolopolo have been rock-solid on home soil over the last two years and we fancy them to claim a comfortable opening-day victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Congo
50.39% ( 0.71)	25.86% ( 0.15)	23.75% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

-1.23)

55.04% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-1.02)

76.31% (

1.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

-0.2)

21.89% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-0.31)

55.14% (

0.31)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52% (

-1.46)

38.48% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.77% (

-1.42)

75.23% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Zambia 50.38%

Congo 23.75%

Draw 25.86%

Zambia	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Zambia vs Congo

Zambia

79.4%

Draw

11.8%

Congo

8.8%

Head to Head

Mar 25, 2022 1pm

International Friendly

Zambia

3-1

Congo

Mwepu (20' pen.), Kangwa (24'), Musonda (64')

Mbenza (34' pen.)

Form Guide

South Africa 1-2 Zambia

Seychelles 2-4 Zambia

Gambia 2-2 Congo

Congo 0-2 Mali

South Sudan 0-1 Congo

Congo 1-2 South Sudan

Congo 0-0 Niger

Cameroon 1-0 Congo

Africa Cup of Nations

Asian Cup

FA Cup

Copa del Rey

KNVB Beker

KNVB Beker

Israeli Premier League

Australian Open Second Round

> Fixtures

Result

Kotov
Cobolli

5 3 7 2
7 6 5 6

Result

Elahi Galan
Baez

5 6 2 4
7 2 6 6

Result

Korpatsch
Krejcikova

2 2
6 6

Result

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Podoroska

6 6
2 3

Result

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Parks

5 4
7 6

Result

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Parry

5 2
7 6

Result

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Timofeeva

6 4 1
1 6 6

Result

Sinner
De Jong

6 6 6
2 2 2

Result

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Andreeva

0 2
6 6

Result

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Khachanov

4 3 6 3
6 6 4 6

Result

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Cerundolo

77 6 6
65 4 2

Result

Musetti
Van Assche

3 6 77 3 0
6 3 65 6 6

Result

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Munar

6 6 1 2 6
3 3 6 6 3

Result

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Juvan

6 6
1 1

Result

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Gaston

6 6 6
0 3 1

Result

Badosa
Pavlyuchenkova

6 6
2 3

Result

Korneeva
Haddad Maia

1 2
6 6

Result

Siegemund
Hunter

4 6 3
6 3 6

Result

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Arnaldi

6 6 6
3 0 3

Result

Dolehide
Gauff

62 2
77 6

Result

Korda
Halys

6 6 6
4 4 4

Result

Monfils
Martin Etcheverry

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Tsurenko
Masarova

6 6
3 4

Result

Garcia
Frech

4 62
6 77

Result

O'Connell
Shelton

4 1 6 65
6 6 3 77

Result

Tiafoe
Machac

4 4 65
6 6 77

Result

Eubanks
Rublev

4 4 4
6 6 6

Result

Kostyuk
Mertens

5 6 710
7 1 66

Result

Thompson
Tsitsipas

6 66 2 64
4 78 6 77

Result

Fruhvirtova
Sabalenka

3 2
6 6

Result

Djokovic
Popyrin

6 4 77 6
3 6 64 3

10am

Sakkari
Avanesyan

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