Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 10.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.23%) and 3-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.