Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Andorra would win this match.