Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.